The Opera Game · 1858

45% of club players play Qb7 here — and it misses a forced mate in 1

White to move in The Opera Game
White to move. FEN: 4kb1r/p2n1ppp/4q3/4p1B1/4P3/1Q6/PPP2PPP/2KR4 w k - 0 16

45% of players rated around 1500 play Qb7 in this position. It is the natural move, and it is not the best one.

MovePlayed byEvaluation
Qb7 the reflex45% of 1500-rated humans+346 centipawns
Qb8+ the move21%mate in 1 and it is mate

The move is Qb8+, which forces mate in 1. The reflex does not — it leaves an ordinary position. — forced mate.

How this was checked

The evaluations are Stockfish. The human percentages are Maia, a neural network trained on millions of human games and conditioned on rating — so 45% of players around 1500 is a measurement of what people actually do, not an estimate of what they might. Any tactical motif named above is verified against the board geometry rather than described.

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