Nezhmetdinov's Queen Sacrifice · 1962

65% of club players play Nxf7 here — and it throws away 4.9 pawns

White to move in Nezhmetdinov's Queen Sacrifice
White to move. FEN: 3q2k1/p4r2/3p2p1/1p2r1N1/3BPP2/7R/PPP3PP/5K2 w - - 0 29

65% of players rated around 1500 play Nxf7 in this position. It is the natural move, and it is not the best one.

MovePlayed byEvaluation
Nxf7 the reflex65% of 1500-rated humans-45 centipawns
Rh8+ the move15%+444 centipawns

The difference is 4.9 pawns — a fork (hits: rook, queen, king).

How this was checked

The evaluations are Stockfish. The human percentages are Maia, a neural network trained on millions of human games and conditioned on rating — so 65% of players around 1500 is a measurement of what people actually do, not an estimate of what they might. Any tactical motif named above is verified against the board geometry rather than described.

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