The Double Bishop Sacrifice · 1889

50% of club players play Rf3 here — and it throws away 7.5 pawns

White to move in The Double Bishop Sacrifice
White to move. FEN: r4rk1/1b2bpp1/ppq1p3/2ppB2Q/5P2/1P2P3/P1PP2PP/R4RK1 w - - 1 17

50% of players rated around 1500 play Rf3 in this position. It is the natural move, and it is not the best one.

MovePlayed byEvaluation
Rf3 the reflex50% of 1500-rated humans-277 centipawns
Bxg7 the move2%+470 centipawns

The difference is 7.5 pawns — a back-rank mate threat.

How this was checked

The evaluations are Stockfish. The human percentages are Maia, a neural network trained on millions of human games and conditioned on rating — so 50% of players around 1500 is a measurement of what people actually do, not an estimate of what they might. Any tactical motif named above is verified against the board geometry rather than described.

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