Kasparov's Immortal · 1999

83% of club players play Bxc4 here — and it throws away 2.9 pawns

White to move in Kasparov's Immortal
White to move. FEN: 7r/1R3p1p/6p1/1p6/2q5/5PP1/1Q1r3P/1K1k1B2 w - - 6 37

83% of players rated around 1500 play Bxc4 in this position. It is the natural move, and it is not the best one.

MovePlayed byEvaluation
Bxc4 the reflex83% of 1500-rated humans+0 centipawns
Rd7 the move1%+289 centipawns

The difference is 2.9 pawns — a pin (the rook on d2 is pinned).

How this was checked

The evaluations are Stockfish. The human percentages are Maia, a neural network trained on millions of human games and conditioned on rating — so 83% of players around 1500 is a measurement of what people actually do, not an estimate of what they might. Any tactical motif named above is verified against the board geometry rather than described.

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