The Immortal Game · 1851

94% of club players play Kg2 here — and it throws away 3.6 pawns

White to move in The Immortal Game
White to move. FEN: rnb1k1nr/p2p1ppp/3B4/1p1NPN1P/6P1/3P1Q2/P1P5/q4Kb1 w kq - 0 20

94% of players rated around 1500 play Kg2 in this position. It is the natural move, and it is not the best one.

MovePlayed byEvaluation
Kg2 the reflex94% of 1500-rated humans-166 centipawns
Ke2 the move5%+199 centipawns

The difference is 3.6 pawns — a fork (hits: rook, king).

How this was checked

The evaluations are Stockfish. The human percentages are Maia, a neural network trained on millions of human games and conditioned on rating — so 94% of players around 1500 is a measurement of what people actually do, not an estimate of what they might. Any tactical motif named above is verified against the board geometry rather than described.

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